The US Securities and Change Fee’s (SEC) early delay of the ARK 21Shares Spot Bitcoin ETF utility has raised considerations within the crypto group about what this transfer would possibly imply for the potential launch of any Spot Bitcoin ETF this yr.
No Spot Bitcoin ETF This 12 months?
In a tweet shared on his X (previously Twitter) platform, Bloomberg Analyst James Seyffart questioned the SEC’s newest determination and whether or not or not it “might put the hammer down for any hopes of an ETF approval this yr.” He additional quizzed whether or not this implies we may see an imminent delay on another Spot Bitcoin ETF functions with a deadline in October.
On September 26, the SEC prolonged the time to determine on Cathie Wooden’s ARK Make investments ETF utility till January 10, 2024 ( the ultimate deadline). Nevertheless, it’s worrisome that the Fee had till November 11 (about 46 days to go) earlier than making this determination however selected to do it this early. The SEC has often made such a call simply days (and never weeks) earlier than the deadline.
Seyfarrt confirmed much less optimism in a subsequent tweet when he said, “Its so over. Everyone can pack up and go house now.” signaling that he had in all probability misplaced hopes of a Spot Bitcoin ETF being launched this yr.
Its so over. Everyone can pack up and go house now. https://t.co/wBsTHXCuEs
— James Seyffart (@JSeyff) September 26, 2023
His statements are extra important contemplating that he, alongside one other Bloomberg analyst, Eric Balchunas, had elevated the chance of a Spot Bitcoin ETF launching this yr to 75% following Grayscale’s victory towards the SEC in August.
Amidst all these delays, the SEC is but to make an announcement relating to the Grayscale’s utility because the courtroom had ordered the Fee to overview the appliance once more. Many anticipate the Fee to enchantment the choice, with the deadline for an enchantment coming in October.
Believable Causes For The SEC’s Early Delay
Many within the crypto group, together with Seyffart, had two main theories on why the SEC determined early on the ARK 21Shares Spot Bitcoin ETF utility. One, they attributed it to the potential authorities shutdown that’s looming.
The SEC is anticipated to be affected if the US authorities companies had been to close down on October 1. The Fee must furlough 90% of its workforce and droop most of its actions. Nevertheless, it appears far-fetched contemplating that November 11 nonetheless appears far off, and authorities actions could have resumed by then.
The second main concept was that the letter that Congress despatched to the SEC Chair Gary Gensler might need struck the incorrect nerves, prompting the Fee to make such a call.
Within the letter, the congressmen urged the Fee to approve the pending Spot Bitcoin ETFs following the courtroom’s determination within the Grayscale case, stating that the “SEC’s present posture is untenable transferring ahead.”
BTC worth nonetheless holding $26,000 regardless of spot ETF delay | Supply: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com
Featured picture from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
